Chris Harden 2y

Women's Bubble Watch: March Madness bracket predictions

NCAA Women's Basketball, Nebraska Cornhuskers, Holy Cross Crusaders, Arizona Wildcats, Tennessee Lady Volunteers, Creighton Bluejays, Oklahoma Sooners, Vanderbilt Commodores, Belmont Bruins, Cleveland State Vikings, UNLV Lady Rebels, Maine Black Bears, Michigan Wolverines, Stony Brook Seawolves, Texas Longhorns, Chattanooga Mocs, Ball State Cardinals, Alabama Crimson Tide, Washington Huskies, Toledo Rockets, UConn Huskies, Virginia Tech Hokies, UCLA Bruins, Miami Hurricanes, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Utah Utes, Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine, Norfolk State Spartans, Arkansas Razorbacks, Temple Owls, Drake Bulldogs, Maryland Terrapins, Washington State Cougars, Marshall Thundering Herd, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, Gonzaga Bulldogs, Fairfield Stags, High Point Panthers, Syracuse Orange, Auburn Tigers, Florida State Seminoles, Marquette Golden Eagles, Villanova Wildcats, North Carolina Tar Heels, Jackson State Lady Tigers, Richmond Spiders, South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Tulsa Golden Hurricane, North Texas Mean Green, Princeton Tigers, South Carolina Gamecocks, Lamar Cardinals, Duke Blue Devils, USC Trojans, Eastern Washington Eagles, Kansas State Wildcats, California Golden Bears, Florida Gulf Coast Eagles, Missouri State Bears, Mississippi State Bulldogs, Penn State Lady Lions, Texas A&M Aggies, Stanford Cardinal, Louisville Cardinals, LSU Tigers, VCU Rams, Grand Canyon Lopes, Baylor Bears, Saint Joseph's Hawks, NC State Wolfpack, UAlbany Great Danes, Kansas Jayhawks, UT Martin Skyhawks, Iowa Hawkeyes, Sacred Heart Pioneers, Michigan State Spartans, Ohio State Buckeyes, Santa Clara Broncos, Green Bay Phoenix, West Virginia Mountaineers, Iowa State Cyclones, George Mason Patriots, Oregon State Beavers, Indiana Hoosiers, California Baptist Lancers, Columbia Lions, Ole Miss Rebels

Champ Week has been brutal for non-Power 5 teams that were hoping to be in play for at-large bids. Teams such as Cleveland State, Columbia and Saint Joseph's, once hopeful of an invite if they didn't win their conference tournaments, now likely have no such expectations.

Portland's upset of Gonzaga in the WCC tournament title game Tuesday means the conference will be a two-bid league as the Bulldogs take a bubble spot. Add impressive play from bubble teams in the Big Ten during their tournament and the bubble is a lot smaller than it looked a week ago.

To examine the bubble for the 2024 women's NCAA tournament, we'll use ESPN Analytics' Women's College Basketball Power Index (BPI), which represents how many points above or below average a team is.

Along with the team ratings, BPI generates Strength of Record (SOR), a measure of how impressive each team's record is given their schedule. We'll also utilize the Strength of Schedule (SOS) the selection committee uses.

Here is our current projection of the bubble through Tuesday's games and the conclusion of every Power 5 conference tournament:

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