Earlier, we released Mel Kiper's and Todd McShay's latest mock drafts. As we get closer to draft day, experts are zeroing in on where they believe picks will land but what might surprise you is just how much they disagree. How is it that one draft guru has a guy at No. 1 and another has him at No. 17? So we charted it out.
The process helps us with three things:
• Assigning draft value. If 10 experts drafted today, who rates highest? Sounds like an actual war room, yes?
• Creating an agreement index. By calculating the standard deviation of likely draft positions among experts, we can determine who is a "safe pick" at No. 20, and who is a "reach" at No. 10. The lower the agreed number, the closer the consensus.
• Finding a range. If one expert has a pick set for No. 5 overall and another has him in the No. 28 spot, it's a good indicator that a lot of mystery still surrounds the guy.
Our pool includes Kiper and McShay, plus draft experts from CBS, Fox, the NFL Network and Yahoo! Sports. Conclusions after the chart. All second-round projections are given a No. 35 pick standing.
The expert rankings are for ESPN Insiders.