Kiley McDaniel, ESPN MLB Insider 8d

MLB free agents: Why to avoid Alonso, invest in Goldschmidt

MLB, Cleveland Guardians, New York Mets, Philadelphia Phillies, St. Louis Cardinals

Now that we've projected contracts for the top 50 free agents in this winter's class, let's take a look at which players could provide the most -- and least -- bang for their expected buck.

Last year's version yielded some immediate hits -- jumping on the bandwagons for Shota Imanaga and Sonny Gray while steering clear of the projected megadeals for Blake Snell and Cody Bellinger -- so I'm back again to try to hit the bull's-eye a few more times.

The projected contracts in my rankings provide important context for this exercise as my choices are based on return on investment -- how I expect the players to perform over the length of their deals and their projected prices.

The rules for this edition are the same ones I set out for myself last winter: Each group of three players must have one player projected to land more than $50 million, one projected for a one-year deal and at least one pitcher and one position player. This year, I'll add another stipulation: no Roki Sasaki, as his value for the salary he can receive would be the ultimate cop-out.

Here are my three free agents to invest in and three to avoid for the 2024-25 MLB offseason.

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