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Giant Killers: Complete upset picks for every region in the 2022 March Madness bracket

NCAA Men's Basketball, Saint Peter's Peacocks, Chattanooga Mocs, Delaware Blue Hens, Cal State Fullerton Titans, Vermont Catamounts, Texas Southern Tigers, UCLA Bruins, Arkansas Razorbacks, Tennessee Volunteers, Iowa State Cyclones, Saint Mary's Gaels, Colgate Raiders, Indiana Hoosiers, Wright State Raiders, Auburn Tigers, South Dakota State Jackrabbits, Bryant Bulldogs, Villanova Wildcats, New Mexico State Aggies, Alabama Crimson Tide, Iowa Hawkeyes, Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Virginia Tech Hokies, Purdue Boilermakers, Colorado State Rams, Kentucky Wildcats, Baylor Bears, Michigan Wolverines, Longwood Lancers, Houston Cougars, Richmond Spiders, Texas Tech Red Raiders, Ohio State Buckeyes, LSU Tigers, UConn Huskies, Wyoming Cowboys, Arizona Wildcats, Yale Bulldogs, Texas Longhorns, Norfolk State Spartans, Gonzaga Bulldogs, Montana State Bobcats, Akron Zips, UAB Blazers, Providence Friars, Wisconsin Badgers, Jacksonville State Gamecocks, Duke Blue Devils, Georgia State Panthers, Illinois Fighting Illini, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders, Kansas Jayhawks

Giant Killers is back for our 16th annual metrics-based forecast of big upsets in the 2022 men's NCAA tournament. As always, we're analyzing each Giant vs. Killer game in the first round.

(Quick reminder: A Giant Killer is any team that defeats an opponent seeded at least five lines higher in any round.)

Our statistical model yields an upset probability for each game based on both the BPI of each team and on the stylistic factors that have shown the strongest correlations to tournament upsets in the past. Picks are sorted into four categories based on the likelihood of an upset: best bets, worth a long look, not completely ridiculous and, last and in all probability least, stay away.

Hopefully the titles speak for themselves.

Sound good? Now, let's get to the good stuff. Here are the 2022 upsets in the making.

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