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Expected fantasy points (xFP) strip away player talent and efficiency and focus solely on opportunity. FORP -- fantasy points over replacement player -- is the difference between a player's actual fantasy point total (FF Pts) and his xFP (expected total). Quarterback adjustments are made as follows: Pass attempts: No change Pass completions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected completion percentage based on depth of throw, location and target position Passing yardage: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected yardage based on depth of throw, location and target position Passing touchdowns: Passing xTD Interceptions: Pass attempts multiplied by a passer's expected interceptions based on depth of throw, location and target position Rushing attempts: No change Rushing yardage: Rush attempts multiplied by a rusher's expected yardage based type of rushing attempt Rushing touchdowns: Rushing xTD Two-point conversions: xTD multiplied by the league average two-point rate Fumbles lost: Touches multiplied by the league average rate Here are the 2025 xFP leaders at quarterback:
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