Check out all of our starting pitcher rankings and other lineup selection tools here to help you make smart fantasy baseball lineup decisions. MLB betting tips for each day's slate of games will also be added in the morning. MLB game odds are provided by ESPN BET
, and all fantasy advice is geared toward ESPN 10-team leagues with standard scoring.
Pitchers to stream on Tuesday
Emmet Sheehan has yielded four or more runs in three of his 11 outings while giving up two or fewer in the other eight. Look for the good version when he takes the hill at home for the Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies matchup. Unsurprisingly, the Rockies carry MLB's lowest road wOBA and highest road strikeout rate versus right-handers.
Kyle Bradish offers Baltimore Orioles fans a ray of hope in an otherwise frustrating season. After a long recovery from Tommy John surgery, the right-hander made two starts and fanned 15 with just two free passes in 10 innings. Bradish enjoys a favorable matchup at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates. He'll face the lineup with the second most strikeouts, and second worst wOBA against righties when they're away from home.
Eury Perez has struggled down the stretch with a high 8.53 ERA and 1.42 WHIP over his last five outings, spanning only 24 1/3 innings. He's been especially ineffective in his past two efforts, begging the question of whether he's healthy. His velocity, spin rate and pitch mix don't set off any alarms, but his command and control have wavered. He's also been victimized by a high BABIP and HR/FB% over his prior pair of starts. Assuming he's not hiding an injury, Perez is in a good spot to rebound when the Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals. He'll square off with a lineup vulnerable to strikeouts and before his recent rough stretch, Perez was dominant.
Pitchers to avoid on Tuesday
Spencer Strider was ticketed to start over the weekend, but the Atlanta Braves opted to give him extra rest as they were cautious with their ace down the stretch. He draws Tuesday's home start against the Chicago Cubs. Strider's strikeouts have disappeared as he's only fanned eight over his last 19 stanzas. When the Cubs put the ball in play, they're one of the league's most potent lineups. It's best to track but not start Strider over the final three weeks. However, he could be a bargain next season.
Today's best matchups for pitchers
Seattle Mariners pitchers vs. Cardinals hitters
Offense: C | Park: A+ | Umpire: C | Temperature: B- | Wind: C | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.70 ERA in this matchup.
San Diego Padres pitchers vs. Reds hitters
Offense: B | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temperature: B- | Wind: B | Home
The average pitcher would post a 3.81 ERA in this matchup.
Washington Nationals pitchers vs. Marlins hitters
Offense: A | Park: B | Umpire: C | Temperature: C+ | Wind: C | Away
The average pitcher would post a 3.86 ERA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for pitchers
Colorado Rockies pitchers vs. Dodgers hitters
Offense: F | Park: F | Umpire: C | Temperature: B- | Wind: C | Away
The average pitcher would post a 5.81 ERA in this matchup.
Boston Red Sox pitchers vs. Athletics hitters
Offense: D | Park: D | Umpire: B | Temperature: C | Wind: D | Away
The average pitcher would post a 5.00 ERA in this matchup.
Detroit Tigers pitchers vs. Yankees hitters
Offense: F | Park: B | Umpire: N/A | Temperature: B- | Wind: B | Away
The average pitcher would post a 4.91 ERA in this matchup.
Hitters to stream on Tuesday
The Los Angeles Dodgers sport a top-heavy lineup, but with German Marquez and the Colorado Rockies visiting SoCal, all Dodgers batters line up for a productive evening, especially since the Rockies bullpen is weak. The order should turn over enough for Max Muncy, Michael Conforto, Andy Pages and Hyeseong Kim to get involved.
Today's best matchups for hitters
Los Angeles Dodgers batters vs. Rockies pitchers
SP: B | Bullpen: C | Park: A | Umpire: C | Framing: C | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .340 wOBA in this matchup.
Athletics Athletics LHB vs. Red Sox pitchers
SP: A | Bullpen: F | Park: B | Umpire: D | Framing: C | Temperature: C | Wind: A | Home
The average hitter would post a .337 wOBA in this matchup.
Miami Marlins LHB vs. Nationals pitchers
SP: B | Bullpen: D | Park: C | Umpire: C | Framing: A | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Home
The average hitter would post a .336 wOBA in this matchup.
Today's worst matchups for hitters
St. Louis Cardinals RHB vs. Mariners pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: C | Park: F | Umpire: C | Framing: B | Temperature: C | Wind: C | Away
The average hitter would post a .271 wOBA in this matchup.
Houston Astros RHB vs. Blue Jays pitchers
SP: F | Bullpen: F | Park: C | Framing: D | Temperature: D | Wind: C | Away
The average hitter would post a .281 wOBA in this matchup.
Detroit Tigers RHB vs. Yankees pitchers
SP: D | Bullpen: C | Park: D | Framing: F | Temperature: C | Wind: D | Away
The average hitter would post a .283 wOBA in this matchup.
Betting tips
Best/worst pitcher/hitter matchups and betting projections are generated by THE BAT X, a system created by Derek Carty using advanced methods like those used in MLB front offices, accounting for a variety of factors including player talent, ballparks, bullpens, weather, umpires, defense, catcher pitch-framing, and lots more. Betting projections for every player, team, and game can be found at EV Analytics.
Note: Expected Value is a measure of how good a bet is, factoring the probability that it will win versus the odds the book is providing. If you were to wager $1.00 100 times on a bet with an Expected Value of $25, you would win some and you would lose some, but in the end you would expect to come away with $25 in profit on your $100 investment.
Today's top HR prop bets
Yordan Alvarez | OVER 0.5 HR (+400)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $11.25 EV
One reason to bet this: Alvarez has seen a sizable improvement in his exit velocity this year. Compare his 2025 average of 95.2 mph to last season's 93.1 mph.
Alejandro Kirk | OVER 0.5 HR (+600)
Projection: 16% chance of this bet hitting, with a $9.27 EV
One reason to bet this: Over the past week, Kirk's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his season-long rate of 10.4% up to 27.3%.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr | OVER 0.5 HR (+375)
Projection: 22% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.36 EV
One reason to bet this: My projected expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.1) for Guerrero says that he has had some very poor luck this year, given his actual 23.0 HR/600.
Today's top pitcher prop bets
Kyle Bradish | UNDER 6.5 K (-155)
Projection: 66% chance of this bet hitting, with a $13.76 EV
One reason to bet this: Bradish has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling a 12.41 K/9 despite my projections estimating his true talent level to be 9.48 -- a 2.93 K/9 gap.
Casey Mize | UNDER 4.5 K (-100)
Projection: 53% chance of this bet hitting, with a $5.76 EV
One reason to bet this: The New York Yankees have six batters in their projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Mize today.
Ranger Suarez | UNDER 5.5 K (-140)
Projection: 60% chance of this bet hitting, with a $4.05 EV
One reason to bet this: With a 0.18 gap between Suarez's 8.41 K/9 and his 8.22 estimated true talent K/9 (via my projections), its safe to say he's been one of the luckiest pitchers this year as it relates to strikeouts. He should perform worse in future games.
Today's top YRFI/NRFI bet
Mets @ Phillies | NRFI (-115)
Projection: 54% chance of NO RUN with a $0.93 EV
